Tools intellectual(intelligent) mail
Dispatches http://www.superletters.biz
Create
Business in the Internet
The largest niche, largest influence and weight in the market every possible
soar on former have букмекерские of office that they have some large
advantages above stock exchanges soar, and main of them breadth of a choice for the player
or huge "assortment" is, availability and strangely enough further follows, the
opportunity is simple "to play", without an idea, that you on a stock exchange,
that is to group large final factor to make the complex(difficult) system rate and so on
is вс ё very much it is pleasant to the players.
Those players, which simply play the pleasure to support a liked command(team) to add of
sensations at viewing events on TV or to test кураж and passion, are the participants
of original game subculture, which grows and becomes more and more and more popular. But
even despite of rough growth букмекерства on постсоветском space,
game culture and the scales are still very far from the countries  leaders, for example
England, where the fan considers(counts) as more habitual to make the rate at viewing a
match, than to not make her(it), the rates on the phone are advanced, when in breaks of
sports events the advertising roller turns and you can make the rate not leaving from
houses. However, knowing our mentality " what Russian does not like fast driving
" and the love of the people to different games can safely be asserted(approved),
that still ahead (is present in view of their service, and opportunity to do(make) the
rates on the phone and at us is...).
Certainly, any player puts by a task all the same to win money and I do not know such
players, who will assert(approve), that it is pleasant to them to lose and they do not
want besides secondary benefits also simply to earn on the rates.
But the majority of the players regularly is lost by(with) money.
98 % and more players, at the end, leave in a minus or that they have not enough abilities
and knowledge to win constantly, or that they consider(examine) букмекерскую
office in a context of a casino and lottery and do(make) the rates "наудачу",
and consciously opportunities for mathematical overweight above a line of office do not
search, and use socalled shortterm and высокорискованные aggressive
strategy of different types. All these strategy need to be known, and really it happens,
that in some of them there is a healthy grain, however they are united by(with) that they
do not bear(carry) mathematical overweight at long game.
Term " the long game " has different explanations, but the majority of the
professionals consider(count) as long game of 500 and more separate rates. If after such
quantity(amount) of the separate rates the player leaves in plus, it is possible to say,
that his(its) method and the strategy has the bases to be considered successful. Though I
personally consider(count), what even 500 events are unsufficient precisely to say,
whether the player with other things being equal (same systems, way of thinking and so on)
again will receive positive overweight the ambassador following(next) 500 rates, therefore
it is desirable to have 10001500 both more rates and only then it is possible to
assert(approve), that the player has won after long game.
As проигрывающих of the players always majority, we have the complete right
to consider(examine) букмекерскую office in a context of game in a casino or
lottery, that is game with negative mathematical advantage of the player. How this
negative advantage is formed?
Here we come to general(common) concept of a commission or маржи of a gambling
institution, you see it at the expense of that exists букмекер. In West a similar
commission name вигом or вигоришем. If in case of a casino and lottery, we
can in all offered games to count a commission and the meaning(importance) of this
commission always will be identical, concerning a commission букмекерской the
office till now no the complete consent between the players.
If you play a roulette with one зеро, where we have 36 numbers and 1 зеро, and the
payments are made in such a manner that at infinite game you on each put dollar will lose
1 / (36+1) =2.7 % or 2.7 cents, in a case with букмекерской by office it not
absolutely so. If 10 players will put on black till 100 dollars and will drop out black,
and then they will leave, they will leave by the winners. The key question sounds so:
whether it is possible to make game with negative advantage by job? The answer: no. But
whether it is possible to use game without mathematical overweight and to play
системно, in short term, with mind(wit), to not do(make) it by job and to be in
plus? Certainly yes, but the discipline and plan of actions is necessary. We necessarily
shall consider various aggressive shortterm systems of game further. Besides all these
questions are constantly considered(examined) in our freeofcharge dispatch.
On the one hand, the nominal commission of office changes from 45 % till 1015 of %, that
means, that at the rates наобум at long game you will lose from 34 till 1015 of
cents from each put dollar, as occurs if to come nearer to process from a position of
model " thousand players put on thousand events of one thousand days ". But at
all thus never it is impossible to say absolutely precisely, what the probability of
outcome in the given concrete event and in it consists difference букмекерской
of office from a casino.
If we shall take 2 professional players, which have confirmed the class after thousand
rates, for example, in tennis, and both of them are in good plus and we shall analyse
their concrete rates постфактум that rather probably, that the part of the
rates of these players will be opposite, that is on the one hand winning players always
have own opinion, and with another  the office in this case really is only intermediary
between them. And now say, if we see, what two successful players give the different
forecasts for concrete event, how we can define(determine) true probabilities of outcomes?
And what for to office to aspire to, that it is possible for its(her) line how reflected
its(her) vision of probabilities of outcomes and relative forces of commands(teams) more
strongly? If two concrete professional players, which specialize on tennis,
consider(count) differently, also office (read the concrete analyst this bookmakers) too
forms the opinion and expresses it(him) in the line. The opinions can be different and
only long game is a parameter goot.
The office does not need by and large to bill very strongly to penetrate into all factors
influencing the given events, as the majority of its(her) clients too does not
penetrate... It is enough to her to establish more  less authentic on the first sight
factors, and then skilfully to divide(share) weights concerning the lines to receive
profit without dependence from outcome of meetings.
Set to itself a question, whether the given professional players against office in the
abovestated case play? In my opinion, is obvious that they play among themselves and
conclude soar among themselves due to the intermediary  bookmakers to office.
In most cases, players to be more successful, it is necessary to know more offices, but
not always вс ё so it is simple. Each office has cash events and outcomes, and is
additional. If in case of cash events, on which put very many players to office simply
enough skilfully to spend feature between the players, in a case with not cash events and
unpopular kinds of the rates it is really possible to say, that the professional player
beats office. In such events and outcomes it is really necessary for office aspires to
establish a line as much as possible reflecting real chances of commands(teams) or to
undertake such measures, as increased marge or reduced limits.
The metaphor of similar process  is bad отцентрованная a roulette. If the
player of a casino precisely has defined(determined), that,say, any sector in
рулеточном a wheel drops out more often that it is badly established, he beats
an institution and has mathematical overweight, getting directly in a pocket of this
institution.
And the lines of office in this case are more similar on badly established
рулеточное a wheel, therefore player puts direct financial damage to office that
the analysts of offices badly work and not correctly enough have established factors on
the given events. Here office can not divide(share) the players, as the majority of the
players does not like the given outcomes and championships!
The example of such lines is served by(with) lists as a type of the rates, championship of
Brasil as a kind of sports and other unpopular outcomes. Often such lines are called
"soft" and they can strongly change under influence of the rates of the players.
That is why it is complex(difficult) to say unequivocally, is вигориш or commission
of office разделителем as on a usual stock exchange, where the exchange player
pays a commission дилинговому to the centre, if he wishes to sell or to buy any
active, or it is the built  in commission as in a roulette. As I earlier marked, the true
is somewhere in the middle.
C 1982 in USA the company LVSC (Las Begas Sport Consultants) works which was based Michael
"Roxy" Roxborough ("Рокси"). Now it is organization establishes
lines to tens букмекерских of offices worldwide, its(her) forecasts are
printed in many newspapers, she fine knows where there is money of public, has the good
equipment, program and system for forecasting and always in a rate of all sports events. A
position and opinion Рокси are those: " I not in business of definition of true
chances of commands(teams), I in business of reception of division of opinion of the
players about chances of commands(teams) ". The process of formation of lines occurs
as follows. Socalled "linesmakers" (those who does(make) a line or
котировщики) are divided(shared) on some commands(teams), which are
concentrated on the American football, baseball, college  basketball, college  football,
НБА, НХЛ. Other group  group of the analysts more specialize on revealing of real
force of commands(teams), whereas котировщики specialize on tastes of game
public more. They are going to together and achieve консенсуса, and together
develop the decision concerning a final line. One of the coordinators of job speaks:
" we simply search for that number, which is pleasant to two parties " (it
means, that they search for such фору, which will arrange both parties of the players.
The rates with форой are very popular in USA that the majority of kinds of sports
using popularity in USA are высокорезультативными, in difference,say,
from usual football, where the most probable bills 10 and 11).
And as to a key role of formation of lines, the American football by virtue of the special
popularity in USA, concerning small number of games, is much more strongly subject to
influence of tastes of public, than basketball or baseball. LSVC explains it by that the
clients, which put on the American football less "are reasonable", and that the
quantity(amount) of "clever" money in other kinds of sports forces to give lines
more focused not on tastes of the clients, and on прогнозируемые of force of
commands(teams).
Thus, if in the majority of games of a casino вигориш, incorporated by an
institution makes from 12 % till 1015 of % and the player can have mathematical
overweight only at game in БлекДжек or at game in a pocker against other players,
at game in букмекерской to office the usual not professional player too pays
about same маржу, as well as player in a casino. In cases with lotteries (we shall
not concern that the results simply can garble, that it is not possible at game in office)
player pays виг equal from 50 % in the majority of the European countries and up to 80
% in USA!
Therefore букмекерская the office is original exchange "аттракцион",
working only on "offer", and the player can use this аттракцион in the
interests and purposes: the honour lottery, casino, he can become the accomplice of
different events from political choices up to a Championship of 3rd league, he can become
the professional and learn to play, leaving in a result in longterm plus.
In general(common), thanking bookmakers to offices everyone can receive that wants and the
given type of a gambling institution is rather universal.
If you consider(examine) game in bookmakers offices as business, then you have an
opportunity to buy every possible chances and can count on longterm plus, if you win
" information war ".
Becoming the professional, you can besides pleasure write down to yourselves in an active
ещ ё and that you can work when want, where want and how much want (using
the Internet).
As to the ethical party of business, it is complex(difficult) someone in something to
convince and the basic problems arise because of uncontrollability of feelings, absence of
selfdiscipline, ignorance or unwillingness to study. In any business elimination about
same, as well as at game in букмекерской to office and the statistics speaks,
that 95 % all бизнесов are closed within one year and 98 % within five years and
thus nobody tears on itself a hair and it is considered, that
To have the business is plus.
How here to not recollect a classical history with the American player Miller, when one
man reproached it(him) that the rates on sports are unethical and Not well, and at all
thus he worked at a weapon factory "Kolt"!
Plugs
Plug, they  SHUREBETs, they  nonrisk rates, they  arbitration situations they 
unique(sole), guaranteed way to not lose your money in game with bookmakers by offices.
To put down a plug  means to make the rates in different bookmakers offices on all
possible(probable) opposite outcomes of one event so that at any result of event
Advantageous the rate with profit paid back all others.
Receiving our dispatches you can meet subtleties of game on plugs with bookmakers
by offices. Besides our service makes the analysis of the offers бbookmakers on the
current sports events and search of arbitration situations.
Theoretically strategy of game on SHUREBETs on 100 % is relieved of risk. However, in
practice it not absolutely so. In the first dispatches the basic moments of occurrence of
plugs and risk will be described.
Kinds of plugs.
1. Plug on outcomes.
The plugs are good by that at any outcome you appear in a prize. Such plugs are caught as
on 3 on factors, П1, Х, П2 and factors with incomplete форами and
тоталами, i.e. when variants of account выйгрыша only two.
Профит of a plug pays off as
Profit=11/П11/П21/Х > 0 (%)
Placing the rates proceeding from a proportion
ST1/П1=STХ/Х=ST2/П2, in any of offices the sum, on Profit of % of the large initial
investments ST1+ST2+X is guaranteed осядет.
Profit it is possible to increase up to 2 times, but with risk to not receive profit, if
the rate on favorites in event to do(make) it is a little bit more, than the proportion
orders. This method is effective enough on вилочных pairs of factors, where one of
them at a level 1,31,5.
2. Plug on whole форах and тоталах.
Putting down similar plugs, it is necessary to realize, that at concurrence of result with
F букмекер returns the rates. Money in a result is not lost , however and profit
too no.
3. Urgency of a plug.
The practice shows, that the most juicy plugs live not for long. In online it, as a rule,
1,52 hours. For anybody not a secret, that simply copy the majority букмекеров
at the neighbours (or забугорных) basis of lines, supposing only weak
variations, proceeding from the tactical reasons. However, the majority those has removed
branches, where not always light, communication(connection), brain …
Plugs on three outcomes.
1. Plug on three pure(clean) outcomes.
As already was is noticed in the previous sections arbitration situations can to arise not
only on two opposite outcomes. As in the majority of events, on which expose the offers,
of possible(probable) outcomes there can be three (for example П1, Х, П2) the extensive
enough layer of plugs is possible отловить on трехисходках. Today with
transition to more productive computing capacities at us the opportunity has appeared to
trace lines of offices also in it ракурсе. So, that we have added to consideration.
First, analysis on an arbitration situation on pure(clean) outcomes. The speech goes about
the offers букмекеров on П1, Х, П2 трехисходки. As is known, the
plug is registered, if is satisfied condition:
PR=11/П11/Х1/П2 > 0, where
П1, Х, П2  accordingly factors букмекеров on a victory of the first
command(team), drawn game and victory of the second command(team) in the chosen event, and
PR  профит of realization of this arbitration situation. Having placed the rates on
these three outcomes in the sum back proportional to factor on the appropriate outcome,
after account of the rates in one of offices there will be a prize on PR the greater sums
of the initial rates without dependence from outcome of event.
Summarizing, it is possible to notice, that a plug  situation, at which two conditions
are carried out at once.
1. The outcomes participating in a plug, make complete set of outcomes of event.
2. The factors offered to payment букмекерами, are in the certain mathematical
parity(ratio)
In a case with П1, Х, П2 it is possible to illustrate an arbitration situation as
follows.
П1 
Х 
П2 
All set of outcomes 
2. Plug on three outcomes with participation basic whole fora.
It is known, that the majority of sports events is estimated букмекерами also
with the help гандикапа, or simply for. Certainly, that for each event different
bookmakers can do(make) it differently.
Event. Hockey. НХЛ. New Jersey  Philadelphia.
bookmaker1 Ф2 (0) 2,15
bookmaker2 Ф1 (0,5) 2,44
bookmaker3 Ф1 (+0,5) 1,86
If to look narrowly, it is possible to see, that the listed outcomes completely block set
of probable outcomes of event.
2:0 
1:0 
0:0 
0:1 
0:2 






bookmaker1 





bookmaker2 





bookmaker3 

All set of outcomes 

There is a question. And at what meanings(importance) of factors there is an arbitration
situation? The answer gives the decision of system of inequalities for the seventh class
of high school. We find for each of possible(probable) outcomes of event
meaning(importance) of a prize and we speak, that the prize necessarily should be more
loss.
Outcome 
Prize 
Loss 
0:1 (0:2 Or it is more) 
B1*k1 
B1+B2+B3 
0:0 
B3*k3+B1 
B1+B2+B3 
1:0 (2:0 Or it is more) 
B2*k2+B3*k3 
B1+B2+B3 
Whether it is necessary to explain, that under advantageous outcomes here there is not
an exact bill of a match, and difference of washers.
From all it follows, that profit PR (in absolute expression) млжет to be received
under condition of:
B1*k1 + PR = B3*k3+B1 + PR=B2*k2+B3*k3+PR
It is clear, that if we wish to receive profit without dependence from outcome of event,
the factors offered bookmakers by offices should satisfy to the following condition:
PR =k1 / (1+1/k2 + (k11) /k3) 1 > 0
It is not difficult to calculate the rates, which are necessary for making to realize this
arbitration situation.
B2=B1/k2 And B3=B1 * (k11) /k3.
Developing further it would be desirable to notice the offered theme,, that the described
approach is equally correct for any whole фор on outcome bookmakers1, including for
negative. It is important only, that other offers blocked completely set of outcomes.
Ф1 
Ф2 
Ф2 
2 
+1,5 
+2,5 
1 
+0,5 
+1,5 
0 
0,5 
+0,5 
1 
1,5 
0,5 
2 
2,5 
1,5 
Ф2 
Ф1 
Ф1 
Thus, we shall analyze now lines букмекерских of offices on occurrence of
such arbitration situations.
In addition it would be desirable to notice, that as well as in a case with twoinitial
plugs the situation assumes occurrence коридорных of plugs. It is obvious, that
when the same event букмекеры have estimated different форами, but
identical factors, the rate is more favourable for placing on on outcome with greater (in
absolute meaning(importance), instead of on the module) форой. Differently, provided
that the factors satisfy to the second criterion of a plug given earlier and форы for
them more, than the first criterion requires(demands), we receive typical a plug. If
those to put down, at successful confluence of circumstances it can bring profit much more
planned.
3. Plug on three outcomes with participation basic whole T.
Following the described above logic will not difficultly be convinced,
that the plugs can be found on offered bookmakers T.
bookmaker1 ТМ (3)
bookmaker2 ТБ (3,5)
bookmaker3 ТБ (2,5)
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 






bookmaker1 





bookmaker2 





bookmaker3 

All set of outcomes 

It, certainly, is equally correct and for a return situation
bookmaker1 ТБ(3)
bookmaker2 ТМ(2,5)
bookmaker3 ТМ(3,5)
1 
2 
3 
4 
5 






bookmaker1 





bookmaker2 





bookmaker3 

All set of outcomes 

The difference is present only in a technique of definition of possible(probable)
"addition" тотула at account коридорных of plugs. If the speech
goes about ТБ, at equal factors the rate to make with smaller тоталом more
effectively. If the speech goes about ТМ, that, on the contrary, at equal factors the
rate more effectively to make with large.
And now small chesspiece about the rates.
Whether you paid attention, how do(make) the rates the majority of the players? As a rule,
the player studies statistics of games and chooses,say, 8 probable events. Also that he
does(makes) further... About, horror! Puts all these 8 events in 12 express trains. And
then, to a great regret, it turns out, that from all chosen variants do not refer only 12
events: But rate проиграна: Nevertheless, many players continue to play the same
spirit... Certainly, factor in this case turns out good and sometimes even it is possible
to win, but in result is lost much more... We, as always, we adhere to a principle "
Better to win a little, but often ", therefore we search for ways and ways of
reduction of risk up to a minimum.
Let's try to develop system, which would allow:
1. To not lose money (to return the most part of the sum or all sum) at discrepancy 23
events from 8.
2. To receive profit at discrepancy 12 events from 8.
One of systems allowing to reach(achieve) of this result is below submitted.
Let's illustrate on an example:
? 
Game 
Event 
К 
Result 
1 
Боруссия Д.  Шальке 
М2,5 
1,90 
11 
2 
Бастия  Сошо 
2(+1) 
1,35 
30 
3 
Вильярреал  Валенсия 
М2,5 
1,70 
11 
4 
Ланс  Лорьен 
1 
1,30 
11 
5 
Генгам  Ренн 
1(0) 
1,50 
11 
6 
Атлетик  Реал М. 
1(+1) 
1,22 
21 
7 
Штутгарт  Вольсбург 
1(0) 
1,45 
21 
8 
Марсель  Метц 
1(0) 
1,23 
10 
System 
Factor 
The rate 
Prize 
124 
0,00 
10,00 
0,00 
136 
3,94 
10,00 
39,40 
168 
2,85 
10,00 
28,50 
235 
0,00 
10,00 
0,00 
258 
0,00 
10,00 
0,00 
378 
3,03 
10,00 
30,30 
457 
0,00 
10,00 
0,00 
467 
0,00 
10,00 
0,00 
Results: 
1,23 
80 
98,20 
As we see, even at use of events with small factors, at concurrence 5 of 8
(is not guessed: 2; the charge: 1) it was possible to receive profit, and rather quite
good for such Rule(situation).
Now let's assume, that we have not guessed three events from eight + one charge. Let it
will be event? 8 (Stuttgart  вольфсбург). In this case play 2 express trains of
system and we receive return 85 % from the enclosed sum. Agree, it is better, than to put
all chosen 8 events in 12 экспр. And to lose at once all money at discrepancy 23
events.
By the way, there is a probability of a prize even at discrepancy 45 events! In this case
plays one express train, which запросто can return half of sum (and can and more,
since all depends of factors on events, which you have chosen) even at such failure.
We summarize:
Even in spite of the fact that in our example the events with small factors were used and
two events + one charge are not guessed, in result +23 % is received arrived. And you see
rather often makes only one event from all set  in this case at average factors +100 % of
the pure(clean) profit, as a rule, turns out approximately!
There is also weight of other similar systems designed for various number of initial
events and having various opportunities (in sense of probabilities and the sizes of
prizes). About these systems the conversation in freeofcharge dispatch will
conduct
